Prismatic
Well-Known Member
I believe @sar104's estimates like this take the "altitude profile" of wind speed into account. It's pretty dramatic in this case, and the long descent through it adds to the uncertainty; turbulence in such a gale will have larger effects on position than in lighter breezes.The yellow pin is the estimated landing point. There is likely to be an uncertainty of a couple of hundred meters - depending on how consistent the wind was over the lake.
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