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Elise Stefanik will not run for governor and will not seek reelection to her house seat.

Happy to see that Elise Stefanik is going away.
She did a lot of damage to our hobby.
GOP Rep. Elise Stefanik drops out of New York governor's race
No way for her to defeat the incumbent. NY made their call last month and it was clear. The only thing left for her in government is nominations (from the Trump administration) to various positions (such as ambassador and executive or political agencies) where she doesn't have to run for office. Otherwise she might land a job at or working with one of her supporters like Skydio. So we may not be completely done with her.
 
Stefanik saw the handwriting on the wall when Trump declined to endorse her for the gubernatorial race. She faced an uphill battle running here in NYS, and she would have had to defend her backing of a president who is not popular in the districts she would need to carry. Most polls showed Hochul winning over Stefanik.

Stefanik could have kept her congressional seat, but her role in Congress was diminished after she prematurely announced her retirement to take the UN Ambassador role that Trump eventually pulled.

So we have about 13 months before she is named to the board of Skydio....
 
Most likely the Receptionist at the Front Desk, that's all she's good for.
Statistically speaking, it's more likely that she will become a lobbyist. There is a 1-year "cooling off" period before she can lobby her former colleagues; that time will probably be spent as a talking head on Fox News.
 
Stefanik started as a typical mainstream congressperson. Prior to Trump, she was considered to be a moderate to conservative and was willing to cross party lines to get stuff done.

She decided the way to get ahead was to hitch herself to Trump and went all in. She has learned that relationships with Trump are purely transactional and there is no long-term loyalty.

This is purely my opinion...
She knows that Trump has an expiration date and she wants a career after he has exited the stage.

She had no real shot at the NYS Governorship. Especially without Trump's support. But the numbers were clear.

She would have won re-election for her current seat. The NY-21 district leans conservative, but she would be running against a challenger who would likely use her record against her. She would have had to defend that post-Trump. By stepping back now, she can spend a few years out in the political wilderness and move away from the Trump agenda. Then she'll run for the NYS Senate.
 

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