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It shows it was last connected over my pond, The pond is frozen right now and there is no drone
The drone is not where signal was lost because when signal was lost, the drone was 70 feet up and flying southeast at 26 mph with no indication of a crash or collision in the data..
The Loss of Signal action was set to RTH, with RTH height at 98 ft.
The drone was 850 ft SSE of the home point.
Two seconds after losing signal, the drone would have initiated Failsafe RTH.
Here is an extract from the manual describing Failsafe RTH:
Failsafe RTH
The Forward Vision System allows the aircraft to create a real-time map of its flight route as it flies.
If the Home Point was successfully recorded and the compass is functioning normally, Failsafe RTH automatically activates after the remote control signal is lost for more than two seconds.
When Failsafe RTH is activated, the aircraft starts to retrace its original flight route home.
If the remote control signal is re-established within 60 seconds of Failsafe RTH being activated, the aircraft hovers at its present location for 10 seconds and waits for pilot commands.
The user may press the RTH button on the remote controller to cancel Failsafe RTH and retake control.
If no pilot command is given, the aircraft flies to the Home Point in a straight line.
If the remote control signal is still lost 60 seconds after activating Failsafe RTH, the aircraft stops retracing its original flight route and flies to Home Point in a straight line.
Unless there are any trees or other obstructions 100 feet high between the last location and the homepoint, the obvious place to look for the drone is the home point, which it would have been returning to.
Wind was from the south, so shouldn't have affected RTH.
If the trees around the pond where signal was lost are 70 ft or higher, the trees are another place to check.