IMO there is no way it is going to be $5,600 USD for the Cine package unless there are important details we haven't seen yet. It's never accurate to convert European or Asian prices to North American pricing, especially for consumer electronics. Not only are they always priced different to begin with, but there is 20% VAT in European electronics prices that we do not see in North America.
I look at it like this:
M2P Launch price was $1499 USD, ~$2049 USD with
Smart Controller and everything with the fly more combo was around $2,500 USD.
M3 will have to be more expensive due to the larger sensor and the addition of a second camera, but there is no way they charge you $3,000 USD just for that M43 sensor (you can buy entire professional M43 cameras for much less) and with the slightly larger sensor in the zoom camera unit.
The new
Smart Controller appears to be nearly identical to the old one with updated internals for Occusync 3.0 and probably some other very minor changes. Nothing there should demand a significant price increase.
2 extra batteries, a charger, and other small accessories: I don't know, add roughly $600 USD?
Also, you can usually build your own "fly more" combo excluding the things you don't need to save even more money.
Another way to look at it: The M2 series is one of DJI's biggest money makers, if not their biggest. Pricing it like that is going to dramatically reduce sales from their largest target market. On top of that, the pricing gap it would leave in their own lineup would be enormous and very unconventional from a marketing perspective.
I would venture a guess of something closer to $3999 USD for the Cine package which I think would be realistic, and maybe $1999-$2299 USD for the "base" package - basically an extra $500-800 USD on top of the
M2P for the extra camera and minor spec bump elsewhere.
Also a proper
Inspire 2 setup is $10-20K+ USD so I can't see this being a replacement for that platform, especially given the target market of that platform and the significant difference in capability as well as operation. The Inspire line is a dramatically different setup for a completely different audience. It is much more stable in bad weather, much faster, and is rated for use down to -20C with heated batteries. It also has a full range gimbal and can be used with $8,000 USD full frame sensor cameras. All of that is a far cry from what we see in the
M3 leaks and your average buyer will never be cross-shopping the two. If someone is able to "downgrade" from an
Inspire 2 to a
M3, for example, they likely did not need the Inspire in the first place haha.
Anyway, just my opinion - it's fun to speculate.